Tuesday, May 11, 2010

2010 Aramis Ramirez, in a Picture


If you are a Cubs fan, and you do not visit Tim Souers' Cubby-Blue site, you are committing a great disservice to yourself. Souers is the Novocaine that keeps us Cubs fans from the pain of our root-canal-like seasons.

Concerning Aramis Ramirez, I think we can safely say that he will return to form sometime soon. Right now, he's sporting a ridiculously terrible .183 BABIP, meaning he's been very unlucky. His plate discipline numbers are not too far from where we expect him to be, but the results have been fewer line drives, fewer ground balls, and way more fly balls -- yet those flies have not left the yard like they used to.

Ramirez will get back to his powerful ways; the tragedy is that I don't think it will matter. :(

4 comments:

  1. the tragedy is that I don't think it will matter.... Ha! Starting to feel like that isn't it? Ramirez is getting more worrying all the time. The Fangraphs piece on him a couple of weeks ago didn't do much for my mood. Yeah, his BAbip will come around, but not necessarily quickly. It's suffering on liners, grounders (particularly) and flys. Why is he hitting 60% fly balls? It seems a bit late in the season for it be a scoring error. He's swinging outside less than usual, but is swinging-and-missing more. Why? Is he trying too hard? Why is his wFB/C at -4.31 when it has been consistently positive his entire career? Is he just getting gassed up? Then I read this morning that he doesn't know what's wrong (obviously). "Maybe I'm old," he says. Well, maybe he is. If the HR/FB rate came up and came up quickly, all of this would be forgotten about. Here's hoping.

    ReplyDelete
  2. The problem with wFB/C is that it is slow to normalize. It's almost useless to look at it this early in the season because one or two great games could change it around completely. Statistics like wFB/C, which only use partial data from a single PA, take whole seasons to become valid.

    Why is he hitting 60% fly balls? It seems a bit late in the season for it be a scoring error. He's swinging outside less than usual, but is swinging-and-missing more. Why?

    I think you hit the nail on the head. I think Ramirez is pressing. He knows he's had a really rough start, so he's -- possibly intentionally -- changed his approach. Hopefully, after he crushes one or two fastballs, he'll start making pitchers work for it again.

    ReplyDelete
  3. I didn't know wFB/C was that slow to normalise, so that's good news. Hey, at least it's baseball so there's a game tonight, here's hoping Volstad is good to him.

    ReplyDelete
  4. Hey, at least it's baseball so there's a game tonight, here's hoping Volstad is good to him.

    That's right! Even if the Cubs are losing, it's at least great to have baseball back! Go Cubs! Go Rami!

    ReplyDelete