|Player 1 (23)||CHC||347||13||16||5||.298||.329||.511|
|Player 2 (24)||CHC||394||20||6||1||.254||.316||.500|
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com.
Okay. Which player would you rather have? Player 1 or Player 2?
Player 1 is younger, faster (16 steals), and has a slightly higher OBP.
Player 2 hit more homers, but his SLG was still lower than Player 1.
Defensively, both players appear to be above average outfielders.
Player 2 is Tyler Colvin, while Player 1 is the infamous Corey Patterson in 2003 -- his one sort of good year. I'm not exactly sure how he ended up with ~350 PAs that year (injury? Kenny Lofton?), but it works great for this comparison.
Allow me to clarify: I'm not suggesting Tyler Colvin is a bust -- all I'm saying is his 2010 season was largely incomplete. Cobbling together ~400 PAs does not an All-Star make.
If the Cubs are willing to boot this year, then go ahead and start the unknown (Colvin) over the known (Kosuke Fukudome). This allows the team better evaluate Colvin.
Frankly, there's a lot of analysts out there (smart, respectable analysts) who doubt Tyler Colvin's power and scoff at his "patience." That is troubling.
So, especially given the recent injury to Adam Wainwright and the suddenly more realistic Cubs playoff hopes, I'm in the Start Kosuke Camp.
There's always a chance Tyler Colvin may blossom into the next Barry Bonds (see the start of his career for something interesting), but he could just as likely be Chicago's Jeff Francouer -- or worse, Corey Patterson.